Game Result Predictions
Friday, February 15
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Abilene, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bryant (40-20, Road 23-10) |
8 | 8 | -2.0 | 58% | 14 | ✔ | 7 | -0.5 | 55% | ✔ | |
|
Abilene Christian (23-26, Home 19-11) |
7 | 6 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 15 (1) |
6 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Conway, AR | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bradley (25-19, Road 14-10) |
5 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✘ | 3 | +1.5 | 39% | ✘ | |
|
Central Arkansas (32-27, Home 18-11) |
2 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 7 (-2) |
4 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Houston, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northwestern State (29-25, Road 9-15) |
3 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 2 | +3.5 | 29% | ✔ | |
|
Houston (32-24, Home 19-10) |
5 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 8 (-1) |
5 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Houston, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northeastern (28-29, Road 11-14) |
3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Houston Baptist (18-35, Home 14-13) |
9 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 12 (-1) |
5 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Hofstra (18-31-1, Road 9-19) |
1 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
|
Incarnate Word (37-22, Home 21-10) |
9 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 10 (-1) |
7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Beaumont, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Long Island (20-33, Road 11-21) |
2 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
|
Lamar (18-36, Home 12-15) |
6 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
6 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Rycass Classic - DeLand, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Sam Houston State (31-25, Neutral 2-5) |
12 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 12 | ✔ | 8 | -4.5 | 74% | ✔ | |
|
Manhattan (26-33, Neutral 2-4) |
7 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 19 (7) |
3 | +4.5 | 26% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| New Orleans, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Michigan State (20-34, Road 7-18) |
8 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 48% | ✘ | |
|
New Orleans (29-27, Home 20-11) |
4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 12 (2) |
5 | -0.5 | 52% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Thibodaux, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southern Illinois (26-29, Road 5-18) |
6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 53% | ✘ | |
|
Nicholls State (26-28, Home 19-11) |
5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 11 (1) |
5 | -0.5 | 47% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Hammond, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Louisiana Tech (34-24, Road 15-13) |
13 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 44% | ✘ | |
|
Southeastern Louisiana (33-27, Home 14-13) |
8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 21 (10) |
5 | -0.5 | 56% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nacogdoches, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Arkansas State (26-29, Road 10-17) |
2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
|
Stephen F. Austin (25-33, Home 13-14) |
4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 6 (-5) |
5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Corpus Christi, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UTA (32-26, Road 17-14) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 5 | -0.5 | 54% | ✘ | |
|
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (29-26, Home 21-11) |
5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 6 (-5) |
4 | +0.5 | 46% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
McNeese State (35-26, Road 14-13) |
16 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✘ | |
|
UTSA (28-30, Home 16-16) |
5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 21 (10) |
5 | -0.5 | 48% | |||